Carolina Hurricanes: Way too Early Off-season Outlook

Jordan’s Staal-ing Performances

I don’t want to sit here bashing Jordan Staal. He is a fan favorite, and rightfully so. He’s an incredible person, a good leader, and a solid defensive center. There is a lot to like with Jordan Staal and the way that he plays the game. It’s based on great defense to claim the offensive rewards later, and it’s worked for him in the past.

However, this is not the past. Staal is slowing down, and that’s not what Carolina needs. Good defensive forwards are always nice, but with one of, if not the best, defensive corpses in the National Hockey League, Staal needs to be producing to hold and true value. His contract (6,000,000 per year for the next 3 years) is already looking like an anchor.

It’s not just from the financial side of the game either. In 68 games, Staal has 8 goals and 19 assists. That is not good enough. For some reference, 3 Carolina players had more than twice his production. He’s playing like a bottom-six player right now, and the great defensive game he plays is nice, but kinda useless if he can’t score at the other end.

I’m not saying Jordan isn’t a good player. Every analytical metric I can find suggests Jordan has been great in terms of chance generation, shooting, defensively. But he’s been like this for years and his production continues to diminish. He’s got 105 goals in nearly 8 years in Carolina, that just is not good enough. Carolina needs a better 3C if they wanna become a Stanley Cup Contender.

Looking at the in-house options, why would you not run with Morgan Geekie as the 3C? Is there any reason why not? It’s not a secret he looked great when he was given his 2 game stint in the NHL this year and was scoring for fun. He tallied 4 points in 2 games, and it looks very promising for the future. Why not give him the chance to take that 3C role?

Petr Mrazek’s Blooper Reel

I am very grateful for everything Petr Mrazek has done for the franchise. Don’t mistake that, but he’s not someone that can steal a playoff series, and get you deep into the playoffs. He’s a very talented backup goaltender. 100% an NHL goalie, but with the duo the Canes have at the crease, Petr is just the weaker of the two at the crease, and it’s time for an improvement.

This is not to say Petr Mrazek has been bad in Carolina, far from it. He has become a fan favorite and has started to show some of the upside he had when he was drafted by Detroit. Carolina needs someone though who can hold down the fort. Mrazek has a bad habit of coughing up goals on the first shot of a game.

Mrazek hasn’t been a liability in any stretch of the imagination. There’s no hint of anyone saying that. However, he’s being put into a tandem role when he is more of a high-end backup and it’s showing that he is very usable at the NHL level. He’s been good, but he’s not good enough to justify keeping around when there’s such a major market for goaltenders this off-season.

https://twitter.com/Sportsnet/status/1214743791854333952?s=20

There are just so many alternatives available this summer that are just more worthwhile than Mrazek. The premier name being thrown around is Vegas’, Robin Lehner. Among alternatives are Vancouver’s Jacob Markstrom and Washington’s Braden Holtby. All 3 are major improvements on Mrazek, which speaks more about the other 3 than Petr.

2nd Line Wingers

This isn’t on Nino Niederreiter specifically, but since he is the 4th top 6 winger, he will be the one who I focus on here. It’s not so much that Nino is even a bad player, but his production took a hit this year. He’s not the blazing talent everyone saw when he first came over from the Minnesota Wild, and that was to be expected. He plays a sound defensive game, and he just couldn’t produce.

He still has a lot of positive uses, for example on the powerplay. A big body with the ability to tip a puck-like Nino is something that should not be under-valued. However, at even strength, his production just wasn’t there. He was playing great hockey, but my word this man sleeps under a ladder or breaks a mirror with every skating stride he takes. He was so incredibly unlucky this season.

Niederreiter put up 11 goals and 18 assists for 29 points in 68 games. Not bad totals, but that should not be sniffing a top-six spot. Unfortunately, he is the highest-scoring winger that isn’t already in the top 6, so it’s his by default. I believe that Niederreiter on the 3rd line is a great asset to have, but that leaves a hole to fill in the top 6.

Looking strictly at left-wingers (assuming Andrei Svechnikov and Teuvo Teravainen stay together on the top line alongside Sebastian Aho, and Martin Necas is the other 2nd line winger) there is a wide variety on the free-agent market. Among the bigger names are Florida’s Mike Hoffman and Evgenii Dadonov. Either of which is a big improvement on the top 6 forwards for the Canes.

Again, this doesn’t fall at the feet of Niederreiter. He’s being asked to play a role that he is not cut out to play in the top six, and there’s too little production for Nino to stay in the top 6 long term.  Carolina become way too reliant on the top line (Svechnikov – Aho – Teravainen) when no one else is producing. It’s difficult to shut the SAT line down, but if it’s done, Carolina cannot win.

The Logjam Lives On

It’s no secret Carolina has a blue-line that is stacked with more riches than the Queen’s treasury, and there’s an overwhelming wealth of talent. From Norris caliber producers to Rod Langway favorites, Carolina boasts an array of talent on the back end. What needs to happen with the blue line is simple. Just clean out the log jam!

More from Cardiac Cane

• 2023 Southeast Rookie Showcase: Takeaways from the Canes’ Strong Showing in Florida
• Week Two Coverage Of College Hockey In NC
• Derek Stepan Ends His On Ice Career As A Hurricane
• The Southeast Rookie Showcase Will Be a Good Look at Carolina’s Future
• Noesen Ready To Provide Depth For Canes

At the moment of writing this, Carolina has 10 NHL caliber defenders in their system. 9 of them in the NHL, and Jake Bean who’s decided to toy with the AHL and is looking like a man amongst boys. Something needs to be done to sort this out because 10 defenders are too much for the dead-puck era New Jersey Devils, let alone the new-age run and gun style game that’s played now.

Jake Gardiner, Jaccob Slavin, Haydn Fleury, Joel Edmundson, Brady Skjei, Trevor van Riemsdyk, Dougie Hamilton, Sami Vatanen, and Brett Pesce are all under contract at this point. Now, Edmundson, TVR, and Vatanen are all likely to leave in unrestricted free agency, but that still leaves 7 D men for 6 spots. Fleury is a restricted free agent too, but he’s likely to be brought back.

So, the best move for the defense is to add by subtraction. Allow someone like Bean to have a chance in the NHL by moving on from someone like a Haydn Fleury. I’m not saying this is what’s ideal, or even what’s best for the team, but Jake Bean deserves to have a shot at the NHL roster going into next season, and I don’t think he’s going to be denied.

Pesce, Slavin, Hamilton are all locks to be in the NHL for the Canes, and I don’t think flipping Skjei at this point makes much sense. So it comes down to Gardiner, who is usually a 40+ point D man, or Haydn Fleury who’s been underwhelming in his career despite having a good year last year. Just logic suggests maybe Haydn gets moved if Jake Bean is gonna get a shot at the NHL level.

Question for Cardiac Cane readers: What do you think the Hurricanes should do to improve this offseason?