Carolina Hurricanes: 3 comparisons for Sebastian Aho’s next contract

NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 15: Sebastian Aho #20 of the Carolina Hurricanes looks on during a face-off against the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden on January 15, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Jared Silber/NHLI via Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 15: Sebastian Aho #20 of the Carolina Hurricanes looks on during a face-off against the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden on January 15, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Jared Silber/NHLI via Getty Images) /
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The obvious comparison – William Nylander

The most common comparable for an Aho extension remains the deal signed by William Nylander at the tail end of November. Nylander’s situation was unusual, as he had the Maple Leafs over a barrel knowing they couldn’t afford to let him sit for the season. The media circus over his deal continues, and it’s not been productive for anyone involved. While Nylander’s production since returning to the team has been barely worth an AAV of $3m, his production before signing that extension was eerily similar to that of Sebastian Aho’s.

In his first three seasons in the NHL Nylander registered 185 GP, posting a 48-87-135 record. Aho’s first 185 career GP saw him post a 60-80-140 record. Those are two very similar levels of production, though you’d have to think that Aho would receive a slight premium for goals scored.

However, the Carolina Hurricanes will have to contend with what has happened since those first 185 GP. Nylander has 21 GP since returning to the Maple Leafs, and has just 1-6-7 to his name, while Aho’s next 21GP saw him post a fantastic 14-11-25 record. William Nylander received his deal and is only just now recovering his form, while Sebastian Aho simply continues to improve. Based on this alone, Aho’s deal figures to be higher than Nylander’s.

Likelihood of exceeding Nylander’s deal: 75%